Fenways doubles park factor has been 107 or higher each of the last 10 seasons, and 116+ in 9 of them. A major limiting factor this time around was an odd MLB-low 77.3 grounder park factor that really looks like a one-off aberration. MLB. The turf also lends itself to an increase in extra-base hits. For a pitcher it is the average of his softest 50% of batted balls allowed. How hard, in miles per hour, a pitch is thrown. All three are analyzed. That doesn't mean that there's nothing to learn from the 2014 numbers, though, and we'll examine whether the offense that we've seen so far this year is likely to continueor regressas the regular season continues to unfold. xBA measures the likelihood that a batted ball will It is hitters swinging at balls that bounce 8 inches in front of home plate because they decided before the windup that they were going to swing. #16 - American Family Field (Brewers) - 99.0 Overall Park Factor, 109.4 Fly Ball (7th), 114 Home Run (4th). #27 - RingCentral Coliseum (Athletics) - 93.5 Overall Park Factor, 85.9 Fly Ball (25th), 92 Home Run (22nd). 10 straight years with an overall park factor below 100 - but only once has it landed below 90. . Globe Life Field (Rangers) First-year Recap, The same small sample caveat applies to Marlins Park and the forthcoming Oracle Park, but some data is better than none. With more foul territory available to defenders than you typically find elsewhere, and with the home team boasting one of the more talented pitching staffs in baseball, it won't be long before offense at Busch Stadium falls back in line with its normal numbers. A range-based metric of skill that shows how many outs a If there is one ballpark that shocks me by its presence in the top 15, it's Target Field. You can follow him on Twitter @DevanFink. In addition, the winds that blow in off Lake Michigan, while unpredictable, tend to carry balls over the outstretched gloves of leaping outfielders more often than they hold balls up. While the park has now posted a higher than average fly ball park factor for three straight seasons. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); These are the top run-scoring environments in Major League Baseball, and Coors Field is the unrivaled top dog. MLB reportedly added humidors to five stadiums for the 2021 season, bringing the total league-wide to 10. #10 - loanDepot Park (Marlins) - 101.2 Overall Park Factor, 99.3 Fly Ball (16th), 92 Home Run (21st). At the very end of this slideshow, you'll find a completely different set of rankings, one that uses a completely different ranking system. How high/low, in degrees, a ball was hit by a batter. This was the lowest overall park factor posted by Progressive over the last decade, with its lowest single-season fly ball park factor since 2015. In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. All three are analyzed. No big shock here. But there's plenty of movement on the list, with Marlins Park making the biggest jump, moving up nine spots to become the fourth-most pitcher-friendly venue in baseball. Marlins Park (Marlins) ALL because the hitters are idiots. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the Hope that these numbers can be the jumping off point for a more robust analysis by someone else! Oracle Park (Giants) So, these rankings are based on data from the 2012 and 2013 seasons. Citi Field knocks scoring down a whopping 15.9%, while the Oakland Coliseum and Dodger Stadium join it as the others that reduce scoring by more than 10%. It is something that happens to almost every team once a week. However, as the season progresses, the offensive output will increase, drawing closer to its previously established levels. Theres significant overlap in this section with the run-scoring amplifying parks, with Great American Ball Park and Coors Field flip-flop spots at the top. Yankee Stadium continues to buck its public image as a big-time hitter's park by posting pitcher-friendly numbers for the third consecutive season. Login or sign up Additionally, you can subscribe to. of Heres Busch Stadium, for example: To mitigate the effects of player-specific changes driving these shifts in home run rates, I built a simple model that incorporated a 201921 change in average exit velocity to the associated change in home run rate. In 2021, these events are now doubles and outs, with the increase in fly outs likely contributing (at least somewhat) to baseballs diminished run environment overall. Its consistently been the most favorable park in the game for ground balls; its 2022 108.7 grounder park factor marked the 9th straight year higher than average, with an AVERAGE of 117.4 over the last decade. Its entirely possible that, between 2019 and 21, a team added home run hitters to its lineup or acquired home run-adverse pitchers for its staff, or the opposite could also be true. Sorry if I missed it, but is the 2019 data just the first two months as well? Partial-season park factors, while useful to see how a ballpark is. Showing In its early days, Globe Life is marking itself as one of those parks that gives up some homers, but compensates by denying runs in other ways (like Yankee Stadium, Minute Maid Park, to name two). GhostOfDrTobaggan. In 2021, that rate was 3.65 HR per 100 PA. Its always been a great park for triples, and in two of the last three seasons its been one of the best doubles parks in the game outside of Fenway. It hasnt posted a higher than average doubles or triples park factor over the last decade. and too often in 2-1 games or 1-0 games, it is not pitchers painting the black and keeping the batters off balance. However, with Miami moving into new digs in 2012, that simply wasn't possible. as Active Spin. Thank you very much for the free bunt base hit. 2021 MLB Draft Guide: Ballpark Factors. Still, its 91 homer park factor matched its high mark over the last decade, and its 93.3 fly ball park factor is the highest over that span. Through games of April 12, no team in baseball has hit more home runs than the Chicago White Sox, with 62.5 percent (10 of 16) of the team's blasts coming at U.S. Cellular Field. As I do in my other analysis here, I took all batted balls and compared actual performance to projections based on the application of MLB average production to each exit speed/launch angle bucket. Ok, how could the park with the 3rd lowest homer park factor post the 5th highest overall park factor? But what about 2014, you ask? The hardest place in baseball to put a run on the board, Dodger Stadium is, without question, a pitcher's paradise. 2. Its one of 7 ballparks that have posted average or higher homer park factors in each of the last 10 seasons. It was 9% more offense-friendly than league average overall. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images. This is perhaps the king of the Homer But Not Necessarily Run-Friendly parks. Now, this is no longer the extreme pitchers park it was years back, but it has graduated into the group of parks that yields homers, but not necessarily runs. #11 - Globe Life Field (Rangers) - 99.8 Overall Park Factor, 103.2 Fly Ball (12th), 108 Home Run (8th). By Kevin Reichard on September 9, 2021 in Major-League Baseball, News. Here, in Oakland, they're outs. On the other hand, it has posted homer park factors below 100 in 8 of the last 10 seasons. New York Mets (84) Oakland A's (85) Miami Marlins (89) Seattle Mariners (90) Los Angeles Dodgers (90) Citi Field in New York is relatively neutral in homers (103), but no park has decreased. Among baseball's 30 venues, PNC boasts the game's lowest slugging percentage (.355), second-lowest run total (1,150) and third-lowest number of home runs (231). Dylan Cease (11) At the end of the day, this is still a fluky high seasonal mark - even its 105.7 grounder park factor (first time above 100 since 2016) was an outlier. Coors dramatically inflates offense on liners, dramatically inflates doubles and triples, you name it. This is a BETA experience. Well, then. It has consistently suffocated doubles, posting below average doubles park factors in 9 of the last 10 seasons. Another important effect of altitude on baseball is the influence thinner air has on pitching. A late . For one, dimensions will play a factor into a good hitters park. We can only guess which parks now have them, but it is important to keep in mind that the ball is not the only difference. Our tour of the NL East continues (still no Marlins!). I compared the samples of 95109 mph, less-than-30 degree data from 2019 to 21 to evaluate just how pronounced these effects were and found that average exit velocity did not shift by more than 1 mph and that average launch angles did not shift by more than 1 degree. Humidors or no humidors, Coors Field has beenand will continue to bethe most extreme hitter-friendly park in baseball due to its high altitude. Minor League Baseball Park Factors 2021 Are you a member? This includes all fly balls hit between 95109 mph and at a launch angle of less than 30 degrees in these parks by batters on both teams that played here during games played on or before May 31 in each year. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
What on earth is this park (I was today years old when I learned of its current name) doing with the hitter-friendly group? Those park factors are in stark contrast to the three-year marks of 0.919 for runs and 0.772 for homers. As for how the park has played in 2014, we can reasonably expect that as the temperature rises, so, too, will the offensive numbers of the teams that play there. #2 - Coors Field (Rockies) - 119.7 Overall Park Factor, 153.2 Fly Ball (1st), 116 Home Run (3rd). Generally, Progressive is a relatively neutral park that performed in about as pitcher-friendly a manner as possible in 2022. BONUS: TD Ballpark Measurements, in feet (L-R, dead center in bold): 333, 380, 400 , 363, 336 The Jays will open the 2021 season playing at their spring training facility in Dunedin, Fla., TD . He explained his goals to MLB.com's Corey Brock when the changes were officially announced: This was driven from a baseball standpoint -- in terms of the right way to make it work for players. Trying to express how players are affected by those differences is . Wait, weve talked about the 15 most pitcher-friendly parks and havent visited Miami or San Francisco yet? Its consistently pitcher-friendly, but not as pitcher-friendly as one might think, for some weird reasons. Cold temperatures during the early part of the season (an open-air baseball stadium in Minnesota still makes me scratch my head) help to stifle offense, while warmer temperatures during the summer months help to promote offensive potency, especially doubles and triples. Balls that hit the unforgiving artificial turf playing surface tend to take sharp, sometimes bizarre bounces capable of wreaking havoc on even the most gifted defensive outfielders. With the deepest center field of any park in baseballone that features a flagpole and hill that are in playyou'd think that Minute Maid Park in Houston would be more of a pitcher's park than a hitter's park. #17 - Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) - 98.4 Overall Park Factor, 88.9 Fly Ball (23rd), 104 Home Run (11th). able to make a catch on an individual batted ball. #5 - Oracle Park (Giants) - 107.0 Overall Park Factor, 106.2 Fly Ball (10th), 82 Home Run (28th). The Guardians won 6-3. Updated: Monday, April 17, 2023 11:06 PM ET, Park Factors
Though league-wide trends are certainly an interesting and informative way to see the effects of a new baseball on run scoring, it is also important to examine in which parks hitters are having a more difficult time getting the ball into the seats. The same 400-foot shot, with a 10-mph wind at the hitter's back, can turn into a 430-foot blast. While thats somewhat normal for liners, grounder park factors usually correlate much more closely. Small ballparks like Cincinnati play well from both sides, where foul poles are less than 330 feet away. Check out all of our 2021 fantasy baseball draft prep content. at Santa Cruz City Schools, Sin City: 15 Dark Facts You Didn't Know About Las Vegas, Why Kiss the Blarney Stone? There's no way around it: the outfield reconfiguration that Petco Park underwent before the 2013 season, with thewalls being brought in by approximately 10 feet and lowered by two feet, has resulted in an uptick in home runs, which is exactly what former team president and CEO Tom Garfinkel envisioned. #3 Fenway Park Fenway Park being towards the top of this list shouldn't stun anyone. It is one of the most variable parks in the game. For the first time in the last decade, Coors has been nudged from the top spot on this list. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. The granular nature of the data being utilized tends to smooth things out and yield very reliable results. Ross Detwiler (12) With the team's offense in the toilet, the St. Louis Cardinals are looking to make Busch Stadium more hitter-friendly . This is one of a handful parks with an undeserved reputation as a hitters park. Stream exclusive games on ESPN+ and play Fantasy Baseball. #9 - Guaranteed Rate Field (White Sox) - 101.3 Overall Park Factor, 95.9 Fly Ball (17th), 103 Home Run (15th). A pretty predictable park that is a clear #3 behind the two most hitter-friendly ones. #12 - Tropicana Field (Rays) - 99.5 Overall Park Factor, 103.8 Fly Ball (11th), 108 Home Run (9th). Better pitchers/worse hitters might be a factor, but what is the coefficient next to that variable? to Fly ball park factors correlated even more closely (0.73). Despite playing like an extreme pitcher's park in 2014 and having deep corners, only the ballpark at No. Typically one of the more difficult places for a player to pick up an extra-base hitevidenced by a .388 slugging percentage that ranks 20th out of the 30 ballparks in baseballthe 2014 figures for the home of the defending National League champions are skewed by a small sample size of only six games. When it's not flooding with sewage, O.co Coliseum is home to the most expansive foul territory in all of baseballa quirk that lends itself to limiting offense, as current Athletics third base coach and former infielder Mike Gallego explained to USA Today's Seth Livingstone in 2010: You kind of look forward to it (the foul territory) defensively. in "feet per second in a player's fastest one-second A crowd watches a fireworks show at Oriole Park at Camden Yards after a baseball game between the [+] Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians, Friday, June 3, 2022, in Baltimore. The chart is sortable, so you are able to examine any changes in fly ball quality within this broader 95109 mph exit velocity, less-than-30 degree launch angle group as you wish. No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. The park lends itself to a power surge thanks to reasonable power alleys, a prevailing wind and outfield fences no higher than eight feet. Adjust expectations accordingly. We can only guess which. Offensively, you can't stand it. As a result, hitting from the right or left side of the plate will not yield an advantage. Part of that can be attributed to a mediocre defensive outfield and below-average pitching staff in Minnesota, but the Twins lineup has been more productive at Target Field (.261 BA, 443 XBH) than on the road (.241 BA, 439 XBH), lending more credence to the idea that Target Field is a hitter-friendly venue. Which group would you expect to give up more homers? While doubles are down and triples are up this season, those two categories will even themselves out as the season progresses, as Comerica remains one of the premier destinations for hitters looking for an edge. Its best to use last years park factor data from above for Marlins Park and Oracle Park. (A 10-mph wind is close to the average prevailing wind in the United States.) 1 on our list has been a more hitter-friendly venue than this gem in Milwaukee. Before we get to the ballparks that pitchers (should) love to pitch in, let's take a look at those that they should try and avoid at all costs: That Citizens Bank Park, Coors Field and Great American Ballpark rank among the most hostile venues for pitchers comes as no surprise, but there's a glaring omission from this list that should jump out at you. It shows you how tiny Great American Ballpark actually plays. While Nationals Park grades out as slightly hitter-friendly when it comes to scoring runs, collecting hits and legging out two-baggers, it only ranks in the top 10 in one of those categoriesdoubles (564)and just makes the cut as a pitcher-friendly venue over the past two years. First, and least significantly, pop ups fall in for hits here at over three times the MLB rate. These are the parks to chase them. Park Factors. 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